Invaluable New Geopolitical Risk Indexes: AI-GPR, GPR-Oil, and More
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Readers of Econbrowser know that I’ve put a lot of stress on using high frequency measures of uncertainty and risk to interpret recent events. One of those indices is the Caldara-Iacoviello GeoPolitical Risk index (GPR), referenced in too many of my posts. Matteo Iacoviello and his coauthor Jonathan Tong have undertaken a new project of invaluable service to the profession, developing AI-GPR, which uses LLMs (paper here).
Here’s the recent time series on AI-GPR.
Figure 1: AI-GPR (b
Here’s the recent time series on AI-GPR.
Figure 1: AI-GPR (b
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