🌐 Global Economy Aug 24, 2026 · Menzie Chinn

Guest Contribution: “When Does Monetary Tightening Deflate a Stock-Market Bubble?”

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Guest Contribution: “When Does Monetary Tightening Deflate a Stock-Market Bubble?”
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Today, we are pleased to present a guest contribution written by Jamel Saadaoui (Université Paris 8-Vincennes).   


Our paper, written with William Ginn and Evangelos Salachas, “Stock Price Bubbles, Inflation and Monetary Policy Surprises,” asks when monetary tightening restrains speculative equity valuations—and when it does not.
A contractionary monetary-policy surprise is normally expected to raise required returns, tighten credit conditions, weaken risk-taking, and reduce the present value

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